I’ve been concerned that even if there were an El Niño this winter, we wouldn’t see any of the rain in Northern California, so this comes as good news:
The odds of a wet winter further north are increasing too. San Francisco has more than a 40% chance of a wet winter, 33% chance of a normal winter and less than a 27% chance of a dry winter.
There’s also a good discussion of the current forecast at the California Weather Blog, which is a good place to look for analysis that’s both thorough and readable: